The Popularization of Money

Beyond Mr. Hayek's Denationalization of Money

§26 The Long-Term Vision of the Value Internet

Transition paths depict process; the value internet is direction. Internet pioneers in 1993 could not foresee today’s social media and e-commerce—the contour of direction is discernible, detail cannot be preset. The following synthesizes the long-term vision of the value internet and frankly faces risks and uncertainties that cannot be eliminated.

Section 1 The Infrastructure Logic of the Value Internet

The Bank for International Settlements’ 2023 report notes that tokenized deposits and wholesale CBDCs may coexist with the SWIFT messaging network at the cross-border settlement layer—the BIS Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures’ 2020 cross-border payments roadmap lists compliance interfaces, FX liquidity, and interoperability standards as harder bottlenecks than raw technical speed alone12. The value-internet vision presents long-term coexistence and competition among multi-layer infrastructure, not overnight replacement.

The value internet can be read alongside the internet: first see how the transport layer drives cost toward zero, then distinguish where value transfer differs.

The internet’s core contribution is to drive the cost of transmitting information toward zero and, through standardized protocols (TCP/IP, HTTP, SMTP), give that low-cost transmission global interoperability. The historical significance of standardized protocols lies in separating application-layer competition from base-layer collaboration. Email providers compete fiercely, yet all mail interoperates via SMTP; websites compete for traffic, yet all pages are reachable via HTTP. Open standards at the base layer are the institutional precondition for diverse innovation at the application layer. This architectural choice—open base, competing applications—released the densest wave of information-industry innovation in human history over the past thirty years.

The value internet seeks a similar cost reduction and standardization for value transfer. VTP parallels TCP/IP, supplying addressing and routing standards for value transmission; IBC and VRC parallel HTTP and email format standards, defining cross-chain communication and asset-interface specifications. Openverse is designed as a Layer 0 value-exchange layer—coordinating consensus, final-settlement anchoring, and cross-domain routing so various Layer 1 networks can connect, rather than forming a closed hub–subnet LAN. If this system matures, cost of value transfer among different chains and asset types should approach information-transmission cost, not today’s cross-border fees often running to several percentage points. A deeper effect is composability: when value units can be arbitrarily combined and programmed like packets, contract logic can seamlessly link flows across asset types, compressing the cost of building complex financial products from months of legal negotiation to deployment of a few lines of code.

Yet value and information differ in one core attribute: value transfer is zero-sum (if I transfer to you, I have less); information copying is not (if I send to you, I still have it). This difference means value-internet infrastructure must solve problems the information internet need not: prevention of double spending, confirmation of final settlement state, and global consistency of value state. Nakamoto, in the Bitcoin white paper, reduced this to the requirement that “pure electronic cash” prevent double spending without relying on a trusted third party3; Szabo, from the angle of “social scalability,” argued that verifiable rules lower the marginal trust cost of stranger collaboration—on-chain ledgers are the engineering of that logic in the monetary domain4. This is the fundamental contribution of blockchain technology: through distributed consensus, it maintains global consistency of value state without a central trust institution. It is infrastructure innovation of the same order as TCP/IP, though its social diffusion remains early.

Section 2 The Form of Multi-Center Equilibrium

The evolutionary direction of monetary institutions tends toward a layered, multi-center, composable ecological equilibrium—not convergence to “one optimal currency wins.”

Multi-center means that in different economic scenes and institutional environments, different value units play their comparative advantages, and can convert among themselves via protocol bridges and liquidity pools. This resonates deeply with actual historical monetary systems: any theory prophecy of a “single optimal currency” is broken in reality by monetary hierarchy and scene dependence—the gold-standard era had layers of domestic currency, foreign exchange, commercial bills, and bank deposits; the fiat era has M0, M1, M2; the value-internet era further expands the number of layers and degree of customization, and at the public layer overlays reserve–circulation division: fixed-supply Bitgold as world reserve collateral, a few VRC-10 Bitcurrencies as dynamic global circulation media—not two hundred-plus mappings listed in parallel equality. Menger, in “On the Origin of Money,” stressed that money emerges from barter as the most saleable good, rather than becoming money only after state decree5; Schumpeter, in History of Economic Analysis, read the succession of bank notes, deposit money, and central-bank institutions as credit instruments repeatedly creatively destroying old layers6.

During the transition period, fiat and CBDC remain dominant in domestic retail: Knapp-style tax anchoring, Bagehot-style last-resort capacity, and completeness of the legal framework are their institutional advantages7. The Woodford–Galí New Keynesian framework further supplies welfare justification for roughly 2% inflation targets: under nominal rigidity, moderate inflation buffers relative-price adjustment and eases zero lower bound risk—Clarida–Galí–Gertler formalized this logic as the “science” of central-bank reaction functions8, and Bernanke et al. bound the 2% anchor with expectation management as institutional consensus across many countries9. Brunnermeier and Niepelt’s equivalence theorem hints that even when the unit of account is state-defined, privately verifiable units can bear parallel functions under appropriate institutions—requiring convertibility, fiscal recycling, and a shared unit of account; missing any one, parallel units remain confined to marginal corridors10. Multi-center equilibrium is therefore closer to a functional-division equilibrium than a utopian fantasy. Public-service payments, social-welfare disbursement, and everyday personal retail consumption will, for the foreseeable transition period, long remain primarily priced and settled in fiat; protocol tokens do not seek to fully substitute this layer in macro-stabilizer function, but supply verifiable parallel discipline in cross-border, open-ecosystem, and high-friction scenes.

In the long-term vision, VRC-10 Bitcurrencies mapped to domestic currencies can run in parallel with sovereign fiat: domestic wages and tax may still use domestic currency; cross-border and on-chain default to public-layer mapping units—the two linked by instant conversion and dual-track accounting—Bitcurrency is an on-chain extension of sovereign domestic currency, not a simple “foreign-currency invasion.” The global C-money circulation layer tends toward convergence on a few public Bitcurrencies and the BTG reserve layer; mappings of monetary-policy miscreants lose public-layer standing first in parallel competition; convergence does not preset specific countries—it depends on liquidity, compliance, and international friendliness, with no timetable commitment.

Cross-border stablecoins and public-layer currencies gradually gain importance in cross-border settlement and internal pricing within open ecosystems. Cross-border scenes are where existing fiat friction is highest and where protocol tools’ comparative advantage is most pronounced. If public-layer currencies (e.g. Bitcurrency as envisaged in VRC-10/PCIM white papers, dynamic tiers of excess collateral, upper tier roughly C0161.8%C_0 \approx 161.8\%) can maintain long-term collateral adequacy and governance robustness, they will play the functional role of international clearing currency in the most liquid cross-chain ecosystems globally—must be layered against VRC-11 Privcurrency’s low collateral (61.8%): the latter serves permitted trade circles and cannot apply public-layer >100%>100\% standards, and is not the global main circulation medium. As the Eurodollar market once spawned a de-regulated dollar settlement system outside sovereign borders11, the global protocol stablecoin market will spawn similar functional substitutes within protocol boundaries—but main circulation media concentrate in a few mappings, not two hundred units competing equally.

Enterprise tokens and asset tokens perform customized settlement in private and vertical scenes. Internal supply-chain settlement, industry-specific receivable circulation, and liquidity management of real-estate rights—these scenes’ needs are highly customized; a universal currency cannot satisfy all parameters; protocol standards supply customizable templates so vertical scenes can achieve differentiated functions under standard interfaces.

Time vouchers and service tokens open new forms of value representation in professional services and the gig economy. Tokenizing professional time, specific commitments, and service-delivery horizons is an important direction extending the monetary spectrum from “things” to “promises.” Liquidity and market depth of such assets are extremely limited today, but as internet-native value representations, their long-term potential cannot be ignored.

Multi-center equilibrium does not realize itself automatically. It depends on effective exchange-rate discovery among layers, adequate cross-layer liquidity, and robust bridge security. Systemic failure at any link can trap or evaporate value at one layer. Multi-center is not a decentralized utopia; it is a dynamic order sustained jointly by protocol standards, market liquidity, and regulatory frameworks—its robustness depends on continuous investment by participants and overall ecosystem health.

Multi-center equilibrium also involves a deep paradox of competition and cooperation: value layers both compete for users and liquidity and must depend on one another to maintain overall liquidity depth. The relation between fiat and protocol stablecoins typifies this paradox: stablecoin anchor value comes from fiat, yet stablecoin expansion also erodes fiat use scenes. Such coopetition is not rare in mature markets—competition between commercial banks and money-market funds, between bank credit and bond markets, follows similar logic. The key is whether this competition is constrained by sufficiently clear rules so that it raises overall efficiency without disorderly competition breeding systemic risk.

From investors’ and users’ perspective, multi-center equilibrium means “what to hold” is no longer a single answer. Wisdom in asset allocation will increasingly depend on understanding comparative advantage and risk characteristics across layered value units, rather than simply “all fiat” or “all Bitcoin.” This shift in cognition is itself popularization of money at the individual level: every participant must bear more information-processing responsibility in exchange for more participation opportunity.

Section 3 Open Issues in Technological Evolution

The long-term vision of the value internet partly depends on whether underlying technology can keep breaking current key bottlenecks. Frank assessment of these bottlenecks is a necessary part of any serious outlook.

Scalability is the most persistent technical challenge. Mainstream public chains’ transactions per second still lag significantly behind traditional payment-clearing infrastructure. Layer 2 has greatly raised throughput in some ecosystems, but bank-grade throughput while preserving decentralization and security is not fully solved. The “trilemma”—decentralization, security, scalability hard to achieve together—is the core engineering constraint protocol designers face. For the value internet to cover global retail payment, unit cost must be further compressed without sacrificing core attributes.

Balance between privacy and transparency is another open issue. Public-chain ledger transparency aids compliance and audit but threatens personal privacy and corporate commercial secrets. Zero-knowledge proof (ZKP) technology supplies a cryptographic path to “prove a condition is satisfied without exposing the information itself,” potentially reconciling privacy protection and auditability. Today ZKP computation cost is high and engineering complexity limits broad deployment; as technology matures and hardware accelerates, this constraint may gradually ease.

The oracle problem—the mechanism by which on-chain contracts obtain reliable off-chain world information—remains a fragile link connecting real assets and on-chain protocols. Price-feed manipulation and centralized data-source risk have repeatedly caused major protocol losses. Decentralized oracle networks mitigate centralized risk to some extent, but long-term robustness of their incentive mechanisms still awaits market test.

On a longer horizon, potential threat of quantum computing to current cryptographic assumptions deserves attention. Existing public chains rely heavily on elliptic-curve digital signature algorithms whose security rests on the assumption that quantum computers cannot efficiently break the underlying mathematical hardness. If practical quantum computers mature within coming decades, existing public chains must complete systematic migration of cryptographic algorithms—a far-reaching infrastructure upgrade whose time pressure and execution difficulty are not trivial. Research on related post-quantum cryptographic standards is advancing, but from standard establishment to full ecosystem migration, historically similar infrastructure upgrades often exceed ten years.

Technical bottlenecks do not negate the direction of the value internet, but they supply important real-world calibration to any optimistic timetable. Infrastructure maturity is never a single exponential line; it advances unevenly between technical breakthrough and engineering accumulation.

Section 4 Major Risks That Must Be Faced

A long-term outlook that writes only possibility lacks half its prudence. Smart-contract bugs, governance capture, cyclical collateral collapse, regulatory shocks, and fraud must be set alongside optimistic narrative—mechanism detail is developed further in Tokenomics and public-currency chapters.

Smart-contract bugs can cause loss even after audit and formal verification; upgradeable contracts introduce new trust assumptions. Bearing large-scale ordinary-user savings on this infrastructure remains a proposition to be argued.

Governance capture, when holdings concentrate, can reduce on-chain governance to oligarchic decision; timelocks and split-track governance can only mitigate, not fully eliminate capital’s concentration into power.

Cyclical collateral collapse: when crypto collateral plunges, MakerDAO-style CDPs with LL may trigger liquidation cascades (March 2020 “Black Thursday”); VRC-10/PCIM sets no LL/WW—stress paths shift to redemption runs + reserve depletion—avoiding auction cascades, not eliminating extreme-market risk. VRC-11 private layer additionally overlays off-chain redemption squeezes. Algorithmic stablecoins (Terra/UST) are a third failure type—not to be conflated with excess-collateral CDPs.

Regulatory shocks—unilateral bans or enforcement actions—can reshape ecosystem landscape in the short term; they must be included as basic assumptions in long-term planning.

Fraud and social harm amplify fraud scale in early high-value, low-friction ecosystems; regulatory enforcement, industry self-discipline, and user education must combine—technology alone cannot solve.

Facing these risks sets a realistic baseline for optimistic narrative. Realization of popularization depends on sustained response across technology, institutions, and society—not on technology’s natural gift.

Section 5 A New Monetary Constitution

From a macro-historical perspective, every major transformation of monetary institutions accompanies some form of “monetary constitution”—a foundational institutional arrangement about who may issue money, under what rules, and what rights holders possess.

The gold standard was one monetary constitution: gold reserves as hard constraint limited issuers’ discretionary room to expand money and gave holders explicit right to convert into physical commodity. Eichengreen, in Globalizing Capital, traces how nineteenth-century gold standard relied on convertibility promises and capital flows rather than a single world central bank12. Bretton Woods was another monetary constitution: key currency as anchor, other currencies pegged, forming a hierarchical global monetary order—Triffin, in the 1950s, pointed out that the dollar simultaneously bore domestic liquidity and international reserve functions; intrinsic tension would eventually erode anchor credibility13. Post-1971 fiat is a monetary constitution substituting central-bank credit and political promise for physical anchoring—its core is independence commitment and inflation targeting, using institutional norms to constrain unverifiable political behavior. Keynes, in A Tract on Monetary Reform, already distinguished monetary policy’s short-term temptation from long-term credibility cost: “In the long run we are all dead” is not abandonment of rules but warning that discretion faces tension between short-term employment and long-term currency value14. The New Keynesian tradition represented by Woodford and Galí supplies the most rigorous welfare argument for this constitution to date: flexible inflation targeting incorporates employment gaps in the reaction function, claiming distributional concerns are internalized in discretionary framework15. Ball, Mankiw, and Romer (1988) earlier wove nominal rigidity + rational-expectations anchoring into the “New Keynesian synthesis”—Walsh (2017) textbook operationalizes it as teachable, estimable policy-analysis language16. Friedman, in A Program for Monetary Stability (1960), offered another middle path of “rules over discretion”: impose k% fixed money growth on existing central banks rather than open private competitive money—rules still executed by committee; third parties cannot independently verify compliance17. On-chain PCIM’s C0C_0, mint/redemption rules, and oracle circuit breakers are logically closer to “rules hardened in code + state-machine execution + third-party verifiability”—same anti-discretion spectrum as k%, differing in executing subject (central bank vs protocol) and whether ELB countercyclical function can be borne (Eggertsson & Woodford 2003; Schmitt-Grohé & Uribe 2014)18. Blanchard et al., post-crisis, ask: if the zero lower bound becomes a recurring constraint, is 2% average inflation still the optimal constitutional parameter—a higher target leaves room to cut policy rates but at cost of steady-state welfare and expectation-management cost19; Schmitt-Grohé and Uribe show that under ELB, optimal policy often must tolerate temporary inflation overshoot or rely on fiscal coordination—constitution is therefore multi-tool joint; no single fixed rule (whether central-bank reaction function or on-chain collateral parameters) can bear macro stability alone20. Kydland and Prescott’s “dynamic inconsistency” warns from the reverse: even with optimal discretionary rules designed, political cycles may still force central banks to deviate ex post from commitment21—precisely the incentive problem protocol paths try to answer with on-chain verifiable parameters. Each monetary constitution has rationality under its historical conditions and intrinsic fragility—2021–2022 inflation de-anchoring shows that even with optimal theory support, discretionary frameworks can still misjudge; fiscal space as MMT describes can also run out of control in weak tax-base, high-inflation polities.

The emergence of protocol tokens explores a new prototype monetary constitution: code-written rules substitute part of political promise; publicly verifiable execution substitutes part of reliance on institutional trust. Revision of issuance rules still requires some form of collective consent; protocol ecosystems still operate within sovereign legal frameworks—this is partial transformation of monetary trust mechanism: from “trust institutions, cannot independently verify their behavior” to “trust rules, can independently verify execution.”

This transformation is not necessarily superior to current institutions. Rule rigidity may lack necessary flexibility in crisis response; code verifiability depends on users’ technical literacy; decentralized governance may bring decision inefficiency. But it supplies a new possibility: outside fiat institutions, another trust mechanism exists whose strengths and weaknesses complement rather than fully replace existing institutions.

A new monetary constitution will not end the old system at its center with a block of code; it will more likely experiment at the old system’s margins in protocol form with new constraint mechanisms and participation structures, accumulate credibility, and await recognition and adoption by broader social forces. This needs time, repeated failure and improvement, and gradual legal adaptation. Constitutional history is like this—it rarely decreed on one day; it slowly condenses into consensus through long political practice.

Section 6 Policy, Enterprise, and the Individual

Whether policymakers, enterprise operators, technology developers, or ordinary savers and investors, evolution of monetary institutions touches immediate interests; all must judge and act under incomplete information.

For policymakers, the most important principle is reversibility. In domains of rapid technological change, choose policy frameworks that can update with new information rather than prematurely solidifying rules that may prove wrong. Historical lessons in monetary regulation repeatedly show: overly harsh early control often drives innovation offshore rather than eliminating it; when innovation grows wild in regulatory vacuum, remedial regulation’s cost and risk rise sharply. Prioritize verifiable information-disclosure standards rather than premature product classification of new assets; calibrate carefully between suppressing systemic risk and preserving experimental space rather than leaning to either extreme.

For enterprise operators, treat on-chain protocol supply curves, collateral structures, and governance proposals as reading monetary products’ “new financial statements.” Technology-stack choice must weigh protocol long-term sustainability, not only current market heat—protocol-standard compatibility often determines whether today’s technical investment accumulates through ecosystem evolution or must be rebuilt. Early investment in compliant architecture for on-chain business is far cheaper than ex post remediation; early compliant architecture is also an important signal for institutional partners and regulatory trust.

For technology developers, compatibility with widely accepted protocol standards such as VRC and ERC, investment in formal verification and security audit, is the most important foundational investment in long-term product value. Technically clever but isolated protocols are often replaced by compatible standards in ecosystem evolution; technology that can embed in existing interoperability networks can convert developers’ intellectual accumulation into lasting ecosystem value.

For ordinary savers and investors, raised financial literacy is the most basic weapon for self-protection in the new monetary landscape. Mises, in Human Action, reminds that all market exchange ultimately rests on actors’ subjective judgment under uncertainty22—understand issuance mechanism and collateral structure of held assets, identify risk assumptions behind high-yield promises, prioritize protocol products with high transparency and complete audit records. Diversify custody; do not concentrate risk on a single exchange or single protocol. Systematic skepticism toward any “technically risk-free high yield” holds in every asset class.

Section 7 The Long Lens of Institutional Evolution

If one views the future of monetary institutions on a fifty-year rather than five-year horizon, a more robust judgment framework emerges.

Monetary institutions in any era are historical sediment of interaction among technological possibility, political structure, and social trust. Technology supplies the toolkit; politics sets use boundaries; social trust endows the toolkit monetary value. These three change at different speeds: technology fastest, measured in years; political structure in the middle, in decades; migration of social trust slowest, in generations.

The technological toolkit of protocol tokens has grown in little more than a decade from zero to supporting trillions of dollars in asset flow—a speed still rare in modern financial history. Yet rapid technological evolution has not automatically reconfigured political structure or triggered large-scale social-trust migration. This is the essential reason popularization is “in progress” not “completed.” Mr. Hayek, in Chapter 24 “The Long-Run Prospects,” foresaw: after competition weeds out failed experiments, the free world would coexist with several extensively used and very similar currencies—geographic dominance of currencies blurred, border zones overlapping—not single optimal currency winning all, nor disorderly fragmentation23. Multi-center equilibrium aligns with this spirit but stresses more functional layering (division of labor between fiat/CBDC and protocol units) and rule verifiability as new dimensions of competition; state money’s dominance in tax-anchored scenes is also retained longer than in Mr. Hayek’s original scheme. Fifty years hence, which technologies prove foundational and which prove fleeting, cannot be asserted today. But the following trends carry high institutional inertia: programmable value will continue penetrating every link of financial contracts; on-chain transparency standards will become new benchmarks for asset information disclosure; protocolization of cross-border settlement will continue compressing traditional correspondent-banking share; individual participation in governance of value units will move from margin toward mainstream in some vertical scenes.

Historically, every new monetary tool, before mainstream social acceptance, underwent a long credibility-accumulation period. Paper money, across centuries of history, repeatedly faced trust crises and abuse, finally achieving relatively stable credibility anchoring under central-bank institutional framework24. Protocol tokens are in early history—credibility accumulation has only begun, institutional framework is still groping, failure and success cases coexist. Noise of this early stage is the inevitable groping of major institutional innovation; it should not be misread as error of direction.

The long lens of institutional evolution also reveals an important comparative dimension: rather than treating protocol money as fiat substitute, treat it as a new member of humanity’s coordination toolkit. Mr. Hayek, in Individualism and Economic Order, characterized market order as spontaneous order—rules generated in dispersed interaction, not centrally blueprinted and decreed once25. Humanity’s coordination tools keep expanding—from gift exchange within tribes, to regional commercial credit, to global bank clearing systems. Each expansion lowered friction cost of some transaction type and introduced new risk types. Protocol money is the latest chapter in this expansion sequence, not the final chapter. What it lowers is trust cost of certain value transfers—especially cross-border, cross-subject transfers without common judicial backing; new risks it introduces are code bugs, governance failure, and technical inaccessibility.

Under this long lens, the question “will the value internet succeed?” may ask in the wrong direction. A more accurate question is: in humanity’s coordination toolkit, in what form will programmable value-transmission protocols be incorporated? Scope and depth of incorporation depend on whether they can continuously prove comparative advantage in real scenes and whether institutional systems can absorb their value while effectively managing their risk.

Section 8 Closing the Value Internet

Sections 1–7 of this chapter sketch value-internet infrastructure, multi-center form, technical bottlenecks, and policy roles. Global fiat mapping, minting as choice, bad money exiting, reserve–circulation division, and the book’s closing on money itself unfold in the last two chapters of Part VII (Chapters 27 and 28).

The following closes the main line of value internet and seigniorage institutional change as conclusion to Part VI through the first half of Part VII; the book’s popularization-of-money proposition closes in the final chapter, leaving farther open questions.

Seigniorage moved from lords’ mints into central-bank balance sheets over centuries; today it is partly moving into open-source repositories and smart contracts anyone can read. This process is unfinished and will not be declared complete at any moment—but it is clear enough to confirm its meaning within civilization’s coordinates.

Medium of exchange and measure of value endure; what protocolized competitive issuance erodes is state monopoly of seigniorage, not money itself, nor all minting participation—money will not be abolished; state monopoly of seigniorage will; the subtitle’s closing phrase “value in direct flow” must be read institutionally: we abolish state monopoly of seigniorage, not exchange and clearing itself. Marx, in Part I of Volume I of Capital, characterized the money form as inner unfolding of commodity exchange, not arbitrary pasting of exogenous symbols—medium-of-exchange function therefore has deep historical materiality26. When bookkeeping, transfer, and issuance rules can be cheaply publicly inspected, discipline against abuse must rely on collateral ratios, mint and redemption rules, supply caps, and audit interfaces as protocol state third parties can independently verify—not institutional self-report—constraint carrier shifts from issuer reputation to protocol verifiable rules; Mr. Hayek wanted to change “who prints notes”; this book wants to change “what discipline rests on”27. State money and protocol units will long coexist; popularization is marginal extension and institutional competition, not monetary extinction in the sense of medium of exchange—the state does not disappear, the central bank does not disappear, law does not disappear. Popularization is neither a technical promise that everyone gets rich nor an anarchist monetary utopia, but under publicly verifiable rules, diffusing participation in creation, holding, and governance of money and value networks from a few license oligarchs to any individual or organization willing to bear corresponding responsibility.

This does not mean technology automatically delivers justice; code bugs, governance capture, and regulatory shocks remain real costs—but the nature of the problem has changed: monopoly legitimacy must face auditable alternatives, not only another set of institutional promises. These propositions can be tested and refuted—if protocol collaboration continuously lowers participation cost and constrains implicit taxation in high-friction scenes, the evolutionary direction of multi-unit coexistence, auditable rules, and dispersed seigniorage gains support; if it fails comprehensively in systemic crisis, the proposition must be revised.

Monopoly legitimacy comes from real problems it solved under specific historical conditions: unified unit of account, last-resort provision, financial stability—Bagehot, Woodford, and MMT traditions supply the strongest academic defense of these three functions from different angles28. Leeper (1991) and Woodford (1996) further show: even accepting these defenses, price stability still requires fiscal–monetary joint coordination across tools—a single anchor does not imply seigniorage must remain permanently monopolized29; Calomiris’s emphasis on last-resort cost—moral hazard and political capture—reminds us monopoly defense and monopoly cost must appear on the same table30. But monopoly cost is also real: artificially raised participation thresholds, politically blocked innovation paths, systemic squeeze of monetary power on vulnerable groups. The popularization pursuit is, while acknowledging monopoly value, systematically lowering its cost—not abolishing rational defense of monopoly.

Seigniorage has always coexisted with power, and power always reconfigures before technological change. We are in early stage of such reconfiguration—noisy, risky, and full of institutional possibilities rare before. Monopoly has reasons and costs; protocols lower participation thresholds, not responsibility; transition is long, direction is visible. Protocol is written, nodes run, rules are public. The rest of the story will be written jointly by code, markets, and rule of law—and we are all participants in this story, not spectators.

The value internet is not one company’s product, not one government’s decision, not one technologist’s invention. It is institutional reality sedimented jointly by code countless engineers wrote, risk countless entrepreneurs bore, rules countless regulators examined and adjusted, and choices countless ordinary users expressed in action. This attribute of common creation is itself the truest interpretation of “popularization”—writing has begun; everyone who participates holds the pen.


Notes & References

  1. BIS (2023), The Future Monetary System (Annual Economic Report, Chapter III), § III.B–III.C: tokenized deposits, wholesale CBDCs, and unified ledger as three main lines; BIS Innovation Hub, “Project mBridge” (2024 MVP), “Project Dunbar” (2022 PoC): multilateral CBDC cross-border settlement coexisting with SWIFT. https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2023e3.htm

  2. BIS Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (2020), “Enhancing cross-border payments: building blocks of a global roadmap,” Stage 1 report, § II–III (cross-border payment bottlenecks: compliance, FX, interoperability); IMF (2023), “Nigeria: Selected Issues,” IMF Country Report 23/108, § 3 (eNaira low adoption and mobile-payment competition). https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d193.htm ; https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2023/02/07/Nigeria-Selected-Issues-529456

  3. Nakamoto, Satoshi. "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System." 2008, §1–6 (double spending, timestamp chain, PoW consensus). https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

  4. Szabo, Nick. "Money, Blockchains, and Social Scalability." Unenumerated blog, Feb. 2017 (verifiable rules lower interpersonal trust cost, social scalability). https://unenumerated.blogspot.com/2017/02/money-blockchains-and-social-scalability.html

  5. Menger, Carl. "On the Origin of Money." Economic Journal 2(3), 1892, pp. 239–255 (saleability ranking, monetary emergence); English trans. in The Origins of Money (Mises Institute). https://mises.org/library/origin-money-0

  6. Schumpeter, Joseph A. History of Economic Analysis. Oxford University Press, 1954, Part II, ch. 6–7 (bank credit, deposit money, institutional succession); Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (1942) creative destruction concept parallels monetary layer evolution.

  7. Knapp (1905/1924), The State Theory of Money, ch. 1 (tax anchor); Bagehot (1873), Lombard Street, ch. 2, 7 (last resort). See Chapter 24, Section 2 footnotes.

  8. Clarida, Galí & Gertler (1999), “The Science of Monetary Policy,” JEL 37(4), pp. 1661–1707. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.37.4.1661

  9. Bernanke et al. (1999), Inflation Targeting, ch. 1–2 (institutionalization of 2% anchor). Princeton 1999 ed. 2

  10. Brunnermeier & Niepelt (2020), “On the Equivalence of Private and Public Money,” JME 106, pp. 27–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.10.006 2

  11. Kindleberger, Charles P. Manias, Panics, and Crashes. 4th ed., Wiley, 2000, ch. 14 (Eurodollar, offshore dollar clearing); Eichengreen, Barry. Globalizing Capital. 2nd ed., Princeton, 2008, ch. 4–5 (Bretton Woods and offshore market tension).

  12. Eichengreen, Barry. Globalizing Capital: A History of the International Monetary System. 2nd ed., Princeton University Press, 2008, ch. 2–3 (classical gold standard, capital flows, convertibility discipline).

  13. Triffin, Robert. Gold and the Dollar Crisis. Yale University Press, 1960, ch. 1–2 (reserve currency domestic contradiction, Triffin dilemma).

  14. Keynes, John Maynard. A Tract on Monetary Reform. Macmillan, 1923, ch. 3 (short-term employment temptation vs long-term currency value; “In the long run we are all dead” context). https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/keynes-a-tract-on-monetary-reform

  15. Woodford (2003), Interest and Prices, ch. 6–7; Galí (2015), Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle, 2nd ed., ch. 8, 15. See Chapter 24, Section 2 footnotes 910.

  16. Ball, Laurence, N. Gregory Mankiw, and David Romer. "The New Keynesian Economics and the Output-Inflation Trade-off." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1988(1), pp. 1–65 (founding of New Keynesian synthesis); Walsh, Carl E. Monetary Theory and Policy. 4th ed., MIT Press, 2017, ch. 8–11 (NK benchmark, Taylor rule, ELB textbook pages). https://doi.org/10.2307/2534423 ; MIT Press 2017 ed.

  17. Friedman, Milton. A Program for Monetary Stability. Fordham University Press, 1960. Ch. 4–5, pp. 65–93 (k% rule: constrains existing central bank, does not open private competition; rule execution still depends on institutional discretion). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/program-monetary-stability-3969

  18. Eggertsson, Gauti B., and Michael Woodford. "The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003(1), pp. 139–211 (k%-style fixed rules fail under ELB; unconventional tools or higher average inflation required). https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2003.0010

  19. Blanchard, Dell'Ariccia & Mauro (2010), IMF SDN/10/03, pp. 1–18: post-crisis reflection whether 2% remains optimal; welfare trade-off of higher inflation target under recurring ELB. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Staff-Discussion-Notes/Issues/2016/12/31/Rethinking-Macroeconomic-Policy-22486

  20. Schmitt-Grohé & Uribe (2014), “Liquidity Traps and Letter of Last Resort Policies,” AER 104(5), pp. 110–115: under ELB optimal policy requires multi-tool joint coordination; no single fixed rule (central bank or on-chain) can bear macro stability alone. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.5.110

  21. Kydland & Prescott (1977), “Rules Rather than Discretion,” JPE 85(3), pp. 473–491 (dynamic inconsistency; time inconsistency of discretionary constitution). https://doi.org/10.1086/260580

  22. Mises, Ludwig von. Human Action. Yale University Press, 1949, ch. 1, 4 (praxeology, subjective value, market process). https://mises.org/library/human-action-0

  23. Mr. Hayek (Hayek), 1976, The Denationalization of Money, ch. 24 “The Long-Run Prospects,” pp. 126–127: after competition weeds out failed experiments, several extensively used and very similar currencies will coexist; geographic boundaries blurred, border zones overlapping; not single currency winning all. PDF: https://cdn.nakamotoinstitute.org/docs/Denationalization.pdf

  24. Schumpeter, Joseph A. History of Economic Analysis. Oxford, 1954, Part II, ch. 6 (bank notes, paper credibility, central-bank rise); Fetter, Frank W. Development of British Monetary Orthodoxy. Harvard, 1965, ch. 7–9 (1844 Peel Act and issuance constraints). See Chapter 8, Section 1.

  25. Hayek, F. A. "The Results of Human Action but Not of Human Design." In Studies in Philosophy, Politics and Economics, Routledge, 1967; also Individualism and Economic Order (1948) ch. 1, 6 (spontaneous order, dispersed knowledge). https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/hayek-individualism-and-economic-order

  26. Marx, Karl. Capital, Vol. I, ch. 1–3 (commodity, value form, money as general equivalent); Chinese trans. Capital Vol. I Part I. https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/marx-capital-vol-i

  27. Mr. Hayek (Hayek), 1976, The Denationalization of Money, ch. 1, 23: competition must weaken legal monopoly and forced legal tender; discipline from market choice not benevolence; PDF: https://cdn.nakamotoinstitute.org/docs/Denationalization.pdf

  28. Synthesizes three strongest defense lines—state money theory (Knapp–Innes–Wray), New Keynesian inflation targeting (Woodford–Galí–Clarida), MMT fiscal space (Wray–Kelton)—with functional-division response.

  29. Leeper, Eric M. "Equilibria under 'active' and 'passive' monetary and fiscal policies." Journal of Monetary Economics 27(1), 1991, pp. 129–147 (fiscal/monetary active–passive combinations; single anchor does not imply seigniorage monopoly). https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(91)90007-Q

  30. Calomiris (1989), “Deposit Insurance: Lessons from the Record,” Economic Perspectives, Chicago Fed, pp. 2–41 (last-resort cost side). https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/1989/05